GM
General Motors Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 86.25
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 64.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 86.00
Thesis breakGM terminates, materially restructures, or fails to extend the SAIC-GM joint ven...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Extension of SAIC-GM joint venture for 20 years to 2047
- UBS maintains Buy rating and raises price target to 114
- Q2 FY26 earnings beat with +3.57 actual vs +3.19 estimate