GD
General Dynamics Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 363.07
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 306.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 360.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a regulatory filing disclosing material cost ...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Awarded $29.5 billion for five additional Columbia-class submarines and $42.1 billion for nine additional Virginia-class submarines
- $1.3 billion Enterprise Network Operations and Cybersecurity Support contract for the Army National Guard
- Full-year 2025 revenue of $52.6 billion (up 10.1%) and net earnings of $4.2 billion (up 11.3%) with 1.5x book-to-bill and $118 billion backlog