LON:GTLY
Gateley (Holdings) PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
66.40p
Buy <=wait / entry
60.00p
Trim >=take some off
76.00p
Thesis breakA further sustained decline in adjusted earnings per share, another material div...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Revenue increased 8.2% to GBP 194.3m but adjusted EPS fell to 11.48p from 12.77p with dividend cut 44% to 2.0p
- Stock plunged to record low after warning of lower profit
- UK corporate transaction exposure (HIGH) directly tied to M&A volumes reducing high-margin fees