LON:TFW
FW Thorpe plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
255.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
235.00p
Trim >=take some off
275.00p
Thesis breakA guidance cut accompanied by a dividend reduction, or the loss of a named UK pu...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 27% | 100 / 100 | 27.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Expansion to over 600,000 SmartScan IoT nodes by early 2025
- FY ending June 2024 revenues of 176.7 million GBP with 60% from UK
- Significant UK public sector revenue exposure including NHS trusts and local authorities