FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 62.63
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 54.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 66.00
Thesis breakA formal indication that the PTFI special mining business licence will not be ex...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $0.74 vs est $0.60 (+23.33%) and revenue beat of over $280 million
- Strong realized copper prices contributing to revenue outperformance
- Analyst consensus of 80% Buy/Strong Buy ratings with average price targets of $68-73