FCX
Freeport-McMoRan Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 69.62
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 54.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 72.00
Thesis breakA material adverse change to the Grasberg operating licence or contract terms in...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Grasberg Minerals District operating rights extension agreement
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.74 vs $0.60 estimate (+23.33%)
- Analyst consensus Strong Buy/Buy with price targets raised to $73