FTNT
Fortinet Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 159.64
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 134.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 168.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter product billings contraction exceeding the disclosed s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 19% | 100 / 100 | 19.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Fortinet signs on for security chips with Intel foundry (July 21, 2026)
- Q2 2026 revenue $2.05B (26% YoY), product revenue $773M (52% YoY), raised 2026 revenue guidance to 19% YoY growth
- Consistent EPS beats across last four quarters with 20.64% surprise in Q2 2026