FLUT
Flutter Entertainment PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 94.74
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 71.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 95.00
Thesis breakA further downward revision to FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance combined with con...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS miss of -7.55% ($0.49 actual vs $0.53 est)
- FY profit guidance cut by $210M
- Analyst consensus Buy rating with average price target $144.1