FLUT

Flutter Entertainment PLC

SPECULATIVE BUY Analysis generated 2026-08-08 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 81.97 Consumer Cyclical - Gambling, Resorts & CasinosAWAIT ENTRY

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

USD 81.97

Buy <=wait / entry

USD 71.67

Trim >=take some off

USD 95.00

Thesis breakA further downward revision to FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance combined with con...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	16%	100 / 100	16.0
Base case	48%	62 / 100	29.8
Bear case	36%	10 / 100	3.6
Weighted conviction			49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

Q2 2026 EPS miss of -7.55% ($0.49 actual vs $0.53 est)
FY profit guidance cut by $210M
Analyst consensus Buy rating with average price target $144.1

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.