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FLUT

Flutter Entertainment PLC

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 94.74 Consumer Cyclical - Gambling, Resorts & CasinosAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 94.74
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 71.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 95.00
Thesis breakA further downward revision to FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance combined with con...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS miss of -7.55% ($0.49 actual vs $0.53 est)
  • FY profit guidance cut by $210M
  • Analyst consensus Buy rating with average price target $144.1
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