LON:FCM
First Class Metals PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
2.53p
Buy <=wait / entry
1.97p
Trim >=take some off
3.10p
Thesis breakTermination or material downsizing of the Kerrs funding agreement, failure of th...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Definitive Site Programme and Alternative Land Use Rights Agreement with nGRND Inc. for Kerrs Gold asset providing non-dilutive funding linked to NI 43-101 resource
- Potential purchaser approached for controlling interest in 33.5% stake held by Quantuma Advisory, triggering official offer period under UK takeover rules
- Secured GBP 500,000 interest-free convertible loan