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LON:FNTL

Fintel PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old 196.00p Industrials - Consulting ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
196.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
165.00p
Trim >=take some off
215.00p
Thesis breakA profit warning from Fintel PLC, a sustained drop in UK mortgage transaction vo...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • UK mortgage market cyclicality (HIGH) directly exposed to residential transaction volumes and adviser activity
  • AIM liquidity and investor base (HIGH) creating structural discount and reduced institutional coverage
  • EPS projections showing modest growth from 0.09 in 2021 to 0.16 projected for 2026 with flat periods
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