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LON:FEVR

Fevertree Drinks PLC

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old 882.00p Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Non-AlcoholicAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
49

Position levels

Currenttoday
882.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
733.33p
Trim >=take some off
900.00p
Thesis breakTermination or material curtailment of the Molson Coors US distribution arrangem...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case16%100 / 10016.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case36%10 / 1003.6
Weighted conviction49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Strategic partnership with Molson Coors established as transformational US growth platform with expanded distribution and guaranteed profit levels 2026-2030
  • Adjusted brand revenue GBP 372.7m up 4% constant currency with H2 acceleration and over GBP 120m returned to shareholders via dividends and buybacks
  • Products beyond tonic now 45% of group revenue with market share gains in premium mixers
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.