FRVO
Fervo Energy Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 25.85
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 18.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 28.00
Thesis breakA dilutive equity raise priced materially below the prevailing share price, or a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Fervo Energy's 3rd generation well design boosting drilling rates by 143% with Sawtooth 7 record of 19,448 feet in 21 days
- Partnership with PNNL leveraging AI and NVIDIA accelerated computing for new digital twin platform
- Scheduled report of first quarter 2026 results on June 22, 2026