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FDX

FedEx Corp

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 307.40 Industrials - Integrated Freight & LogisticsAWAIT ENTRY
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 307.40
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 273.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 330.00
Thesis breakA material cybersecurity incident that disrupts the integrated air-ground networ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Strong Q4 earnings beat with adjusted EPS $6.31 vs $5.96 expected and revenue $25.01B vs $24.04B expected
  • Completion of FedEx Freight spin-off on June 1 with $4.1B cash dividend to FedEx Corp
  • One FedEx consolidation merging Express, Ground and Services for cost efficiency
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.