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FDX

FedEx Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 319.30 Industrials - Integrated Freight & LogisticsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
72

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 319.30
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 266.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 330.00
Thesis breakA material cybersecurity incident causing sustained operational disruption, a st...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case10%10 / 1001.0
Weighted conviction72 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 FY2026 earnings beat with revenue $25.0B and adjusted EPS $6.31 vs expectations, plus raised FY2026 guidance
  • Completion of FedEx Freight spinoff with $4.1B cash dividend received by FedEx Corp
  • Sale of FedEx Supply Chain to CMA CGM Group at $1.4B enterprise value
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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