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FDX

FedEx Corp

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 330.57 Industrials - Integrated Freight & LogisticsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 330.57
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 275.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 355.00
Thesis breakA material cybersecurity incident that disrupts hub operations for more than a w...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 2026 adjusted EPS beat of $5.25 vs $4.13 consensus (+26.98%) with revenue of $24.0B beating estimates
  • Raised fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $19.30-$20.10 from prior $17.80-$19 range and revenue growth outlook to 6-6.5%
  • Board approval of FedEx Freight spin-off into independent company with stockholders receiving one share per two owned
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.