FN
Fabrinet
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 528.73
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 440.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 560.00
Thesis breakA multi-quarter EPS miss below published consensus accompanied by guidance step-...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q3 2026 EPS beat of 5.38% to $3.72 vs estimate $3.53 with record revenue
- Q4 2026 EPS guidance provided at 3.72-3.87
- 16.47% stock surge on strong earnings and AI-related demand