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FN

Fabrinet

BUY 2026-10-04 Data 8 days old USD 463.69 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 463.69
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 393.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 520.00
Thesis breakA named loss of a significant optical module customer programme, or a fiscal 202...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case40%100 / 10040.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Record Q4 revenue of $1.316 billion, up 45% YoY and above guidance
  • Data center revenue of $669 million, up 68% YoY and representing 51% of total revenue with DCI annualized run rate exceeding $1 billion
  • Full-year revenue of $4.6 billion up 36% and non-GAAP EPS of $14.09 up 39% YoY
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.