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XOM

Exxonmobil Holdings Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 15 days old USD 153.04 Energy - Oil & Gas IntegratedAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
74

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 153.04
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 133.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 160.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would break if Exxonmobil Holdings Corp discloses a material adverse ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction74 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Record Permian production with planned 9% CAGR through 2030
  • Fifth Guyana FPSO set sail with 250 Kbd capacity startup in 4Q26
  • Q2 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.52 and GAAP earnings of $14.5B
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.