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XOM

Exxonmobil Holdings Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 155.44 Energy - Oil & Gas IntegratedAWAIT ENTRY
62

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 155.44
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 133.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 165.00
Thesis breakA material operational disruption at the Guyana Stabroek block that halts or rev...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case30%100 / 10030.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case21%10 / 1002.1
Weighted conviction62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Strong Q2 2026 adjusted earnings of $14.7B and GAAP earnings of $14.5B
  • Guyana production records and Golden Pass LNG startup as earnings drivers
  • Permian production exceeding 1.8 Moebd
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.