EXC
Exelon Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 40.73
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 38.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 44.00
Thesis breakAn adverse regulatory ruling from a principal state commission or FERC that mate...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 36% | 100 / 100 | 36.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Reaffirmed 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance of $2.81-$2.91 per share
- $41.7 billion capital plan pivot toward transmission investments
- Advancing 500-megawatt battery storage project in New Jersey with expected net customer benefits