EXC
Exelon Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 44.86
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 42.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 48.00
Thesis breakMaterial regulator-led disallowance on transmission capex, an adverse outcome in...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 37% | 100 / 100 | 37.0 |
| Base case | 47% | 62 / 100 | 29.1 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 68 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Exelon secured more than $1 billion in customer protections through pioneering transmission security agreements
- Completed separation of Constellation, now operating as pure-play T&D utility with six regulated utilities
- Q2 2026 adjusted EPS $0.43, revenue $5.97B beat, full-year guidance reaffirmed at $2.81-$2.91