ET
Energy Transfer LP Unit
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 20.13
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 18.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 21.50
Thesis breakThe thesis breaks if FERC materially reduces tariff indexing or tax allowances o...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.59 vs $0.36 estimate with net income rising to $2.09 billion
- 31% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $5.07 billion
- Consensus analyst rating of Strong Buy with average price target of $23.45