EMR
Emerson Electric Co
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 149.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 130.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 160.00
Thesis breakA confirmed AspenTech integration failure or a sustained step-down in process in...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 underlying orders growth of 5% and adjusted EPS of $1.54
- February 2025 partnership with Zitara Technologies for energy storage solutions
- AspenTech integration execution risk from SEC filing disclosures