EMR
Emerson Electric Co
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 166.33
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 139.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 168.00
Thesis breakA confirmed reset of FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance below $6.45, loss of a named s...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- 13-year collaboration with Equinor
- Technology initiative with Aramco
- Raised full-year adjusted EPS guidance to approximately $6.55 after Q3 beat