NYSE:ELV
Elevance Health Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 429.90
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 340.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 420.00
Thesis breakA 2027 EPS guidance raise fails to materialise, or an adverse regulatory action ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance multiple times to at least $27
- Q4 2025 operating revenue $49.3B (+10% YoY) and full-year 2025 revenue $197.6B (+13% YoY)
- Reaffirmed path to at least 12% adjusted EPS growth in 2027