NYSE:ELV
Elevance Health Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 391.46
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 350.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 430.00
Thesis breakA formal reduction of 2026 EPS guidance combined with a sustained deterioration ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to at least $27.00 in Q2 2026 results
- Q1 and Q2 2026 operating results exceeded expectations with revenue growth from premium yields and CarelonRx
- Analyst consensus Moderate Buy with average 12-month price target of $449.33