ASX:EOS
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
AUD 7.74
Buy <=wait / entry
AUD 6.40
Trim >=take some off
AUD 8.80
Thesis breakA formal downgrade to FY2026 revenue guidance by management, or a confirmed loss...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- MARSS acquisition completed May 2026 with market launch at Eurosatory and relocation of headquarters to France
- Illustrative order book of $726m with 60-80% conversion expected in 2026-2027 and FY2026 revenue guidance of AUD 240-270m
- Strategic partnership agreement with ROKETSAN for future opportunities