ASX:EOS
Electro Optic Systems Holdings Ltd
Position levels
Currenttoday
AUD 6.69
Buy <=wait / entry
AUD 4.88
Trim >=take some off
AUD 7.85
Thesis breakA formal downgrade to FY2026 revenue guidance below AUD 240 million, the loss of...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- MARSS acquisition completed May 2026 with market launch at Eurosatory and new sales orders secured
- Illustrative order book of $726m with 60-80% conversion expected in 2026-2027
- FY2026 revenue guidance of AUD 240-270m based on existing contracts