ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 359.04
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 376.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 470.00
Thesis breakA confirmed quarterly revenue miss against consensus combined with a margin guid...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity with definitive agreement to combine Mobility Group with Dana Incorporated and acquisition of COL Group expanding data center and utility capacity
- Q2 FY26 earnings beat with EPS $3.15 vs $3.08 estimate and raised full-year 2026 organic growth guidance to 12%
- Q3 2026 guidance of 13.5 - 15.5% organic growth, segment margins 24.6 - 25.0% and adjusted EPS $3.46 - $3.56