DUK
Duke Energy Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 128.59
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 106.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 122.00
Thesis breakA material adverse rate order in the Carolinas or Florida, a publicly disclosed ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 43% | 100 / 100 | 43.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 74 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- 7.8 GW signed electric service agreements with data center customers plus 15.4 GW pipeline
- Closed $2.8 billion Brookfield minority investment tranche in Florida business
- North Carolina rate case settlement securing 9.8% ROE and 53% equity structure