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DUK

Duke Energy Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 128.59 Utilities - Regulated ElectricREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
74

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 128.59
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 106.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 122.00
Thesis breakA material adverse rate order in the Carolinas or Florida, a publicly disclosed ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction74 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • 7.8 GW signed electric service agreements with data center customers plus 15.4 GW pipeline
  • Closed $2.8 billion Brookfield minority investment tranche in Florida business
  • North Carolina rate case settlement securing 9.8% ROE and 53% equity structure
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