DOW
Dow Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 29.34
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 24.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 34.00
Thesis breakDow would invalidate the investment thesis if China customer destocking visibly ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 29% | 100 / 100 | 29.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Reported strong Q2 2026 results with $12.1 billion revenue and adjusted EPS of $1.44
- Introduction of next-generation seating foam with ISCC PLUS certified renewable content using SPECFLEX? REN
- Expansion of product and innovation capabilities to support growth in specialty silicones markets