LON:DGE

Diageo plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old 1904.00p Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesREDUCE ZONE

ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed

Position levels

Currenttoday

1904.00p

Buy <=wait / entry

1583.33p

Trim >=take some off

1850.00p

Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by continued high-single-digit organic sales dec...

Scenario-weighted conviction

	Probability	Score	Contribution
Bull case	20%	100 / 100	20.0
Base case	50%	62 / 100	31.0
Bear case	30%	10 / 100	3.0
Weighted conviction			54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

Publication of restated regional financial results for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 to align with new market and regional operating framework
Earnings estimates declined from $1.17 to $1.16 per share for FY2026 and from $1.19 to $1.17 for FY2027 over past 90 days
Q4 2026 earnings release scheduled for Aug 6 2026 with prior quarter revenue miss of $7771.31 million

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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.