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LON:DGE

Diageo plc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today 1634.50p Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
1634.50p
Buy <=wait / entry
1483.33p
Trim >=take some off
1750.00p
Thesis breakA defensive cut to the progressive dividend policy, or the new CEO articulating ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case27%100 / 10027.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • North American channel inventory destocking suppressing top-line growth
  • New CEO execution risk creating leadership vacuum premium
  • Premiumisation model stress test from consumer moderation trends
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.