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DAL

Delta Air Lines Inc

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 80.07 Industrials - Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 80.07
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 67.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 86.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a material, disclosed cybersecurity or IT inc...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.07 ($1.56 actual vs $1.49 consensus) with revenue +18.7% YoY to $17.67B
  • March quarter earnings >40% higher YoY and June quarter guidance for low-teens revenue growth on flat capacity
  • Full-year adjusted EPS guidance affirmed at $6.50-$7.50 despite $2B fuel headwind
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.