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DAL

Delta Air Lines Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 86.55 Industrials - Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
65

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 86.55
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 70.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 94.00
Thesis breakA confirmed material IT, cybersecurity, or large-scale operational failure that ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction65 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • June quarter earnings beat guidance with $1.4B pre-tax profit and double-digit ROIC despite record fuel costs
  • Affirmed full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.50-$7.50 and free cash flow of $3-4B with mid-teens September quarter revenue growth expected
  • 15% dividend increase announced alongside quarterly dividend of $0.215 per share
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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