DELL
Dell Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 371.17
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 506.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 640.00
Thesis breakA confirmed multi-quarter slowdown in AI server orders together with a quantifie...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 54% | 62 / 100 | 33.5 |
| Bear case | 13% | 10 / 100 | 1.3 |
| Weighted conviction | 68 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised FY2027 revenue guidance to $192B midpoint (15% lift) with GAAP EPS guide up ~41%
- Record FY2026 revenue of $113.5B (+19% YoY), diluted EPS $8.68 (+36% YoY), and non-GAAP EPS $10.30 (+27% YoY)
- $10B increase in share repurchase authorization and 20% cash dividend increase