DELL
Dell Technologies Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 453.77
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 360.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 480.00
Thesis breakA material cut to fiscal 2027 revenue or EPS guidance, a publicly disclosed canc...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 53% | 62 / 100 | 32.9 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 61 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Record Q2 FY2026 revenue of $29.8B (up 19% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS of $2.32 (up 19% YoY) with $10B AI solutions shipped in H1 FY26
- Full-year FY2026 record revenue of $113.5B (up 19% YoY) and FY27 guidance of 23% revenue growth at midpoint
- New product launches including Dell PowerStore Elite storage platform and Dell AI Factory with NVIDIA for agentic AI