DE
Deere & Co
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 592.67
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 498.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 615.00
Thesis breakA material cut to full-year fiscal 2026 guidance at the next quarterly print or ...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised full-year net income guidance to $4.5-5.0 billion after Q1 2026 net sales rose 13%
- Scaling autonomous tillage and planting across high-horsepower tractors in early 2025
- 18% global agricultural equipment market share and 30% North American large tractor segment