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CVS

CVS Health Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 104.43 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
53

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 104.43
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 84.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 110.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of material adverse development in Aetna medical benefi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case18%100 / 10018.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Caremark contract wins totaling nearly $6.0 billion with high-nineties retention
  • Raised full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $6.55-$6.65
  • Q3 total revenues increased 7.8% to record $102.9 billion
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