CVS
CVS Health Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 104.43
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 84.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 110.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of material adverse development in Aetna medical benefi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 18% | 100 / 100 | 18.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Caremark contract wins totaling nearly $6.0 billion with high-nineties retention
- Raised full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to $6.55-$6.65
- Q3 total revenues increased 7.8% to record $102.9 billion