CRIS
Curis Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 4.02
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 2.27
Trim >=take some off
USD 3.20
Thesis breakA dilutive equity raise executed materially below the current price combined wit...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 8% | 100 / 100 | 8.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 44% | 10 / 100 | 4.4 |
| Weighted conviction | 42 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q1 2026 earnings miss with actual EPS of -$1.25 versus estimate of -$0.27
- Next earnings guidance projecting EPS of -$5.31
- Strong Buy rating from one analyst citing pipeline mechanism of action