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CRDO

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-11 Data 12 days old USD 239.94 REDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
57

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 239.94
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 165.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 235.00
Thesis breakA fiscal Q4 2026 revenue print materially below the low end of management guidan...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case22%100 / 10022.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case26%10 / 1002.6
Weighted conviction57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 FY2026 preliminary revenue $404-408M vs prior guidance $335-345M
  • FY2026 revenue guidance >200% YoY growth with mid-single digit sequential increases
  • Partnership with Rebellions integrating ZeroFlap AECs into RebelPOD AI clusters
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.