CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 218.64
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 158.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 235.00
Thesis breakCredo's investment thesis would be invalidated by a confirmed loss of a named hy...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 22% | 100 / 100 | 22.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 26% | 10 / 100 | 2.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 57 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Acquisition of DustPhotonics accelerating silicon photonics and optical connectivity expansion
- Partnership with Rebellions to build Enterprise AI Factories
- Preliminary Q3 FY2026 revenue of $404-408M significantly above prior guidance of $335-345M