LON:CRW
Craneware plc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
1356.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
1133.33p
Trim >=take some off
1500.00p
Thesis breakA binding US federal regulatory action that materially reduces the 340B addressa...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 20% | 100 / 100 | 20.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Deferred contracts and slower 340B revenue conversion expected to benefit FY27 results
- Last quarter EPS of 0.428p beating consensus
- 340B programme reform (HIGH) risk from SEC filing disclosures