COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 1092.21
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 873.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 980.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of comparable-sales growth below 3 per cent combined wi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q4 2026 EPS of $6.75 beat analyst expectations of $6.53 with net sales up 11.2% to $93.9 billion
- Comparable sales growth of 9.4% (adjusted 6.7%) and digitally-enabled sales growth of 19.5%
- Fiscal year net sales increased 10.1% to $297.2 billion