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COST

Costco Wholesale Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 947.82 Consumer Defensive - Discount StoresAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 947.82
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 873.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 980.00
Thesis breakA sustained deceleration in comparable sales to the low single digits for two co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 fiscal 2026 net sales growth of 11.6% to $69.15 billion with net income rising to $2.19 billion
  • Comparable sales increases including 21.5% digitally-enabled growth for the quarter
  • Wall Street consensus Buy rating from 24 analysts with average price target of $1090
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.