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COST

Costco Wholesale Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 1092.21 Consumer Defensive - Discount StoresREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 1092.21
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 873.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 980.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of comparable-sales growth below 3 per cent combined wi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2026 EPS of $6.75 beat analyst expectations of $6.53 with net sales up 11.2% to $93.9 billion
  • Comparable sales growth of 9.4% (adjusted 6.7%) and digitally-enabled sales growth of 19.5%
  • Fiscal year net sales increased 10.1% to $297.2 billion
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