COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 951.89
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 875.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 985.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive reporting periods of comparable sales growth below mid-single-di...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q3 FY2026 net sales increase of 11.6% to $69.15 billion and net income to $2.19 billion ($4.93 EPS)
- Comparable sales growth of 9.8% (adjusted 6.6%) with digitally-enabled sales up 21.5%
- Analyst consensus Buy rating from 24 analysts with average price target of $1090