CSGP
Costar Group Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 30.10
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 24.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 30.00
Thesis breakA downward revision to 2026 revenue or EPS guidance, disclosed subscriber churn ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 6% | 100 / 100 | 6.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 46% | 10 / 100 | 4.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 40 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: CoStar announced acquisition of Zonda for $800M in cash on May 28, 2026 to add new home data and marketplaces
- Earnings and guidance changes: Q2 FY26 EPS beat (+0.32 actual vs +0.29 estimate) with revenue of $925M; 2026 revenue guidance upgraded to $3.715 - $3.755B (~15% growth)
- Upcoming earnings release: Q3 2026 results scheduled for October 27, 2026 with conference call