CMCSA
Comcast Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 24.80
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 20.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 24.50
Thesis breakA material delay or re-scoping of the NBCUniversal/Sky separation, combined with...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 31% | 100 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 21% | 10 / 100 | 2.1 |
| Weighted conviction | 63 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Charter and Comcast agreement to leverage T-Mobile 5G for wireless business customers
- Spin-off of NBCUniversal and Sky media businesses into separate company on June 30 2026
- Q2 FY26 EPS beat with actual +1.04 vs estimate +0.97