CMCSA
Comcast Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 25.36
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 22.17
Trim >=take some off
USD 28.50
Thesis breakA named loss of the T-Mobile MVNO partnership, or two consecutive quarters of ma...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Multi-year exclusive MVNO agreement with T-Mobile to deliver 5G mobile services to business customers under Comcast Business Mobile brand launching 2026
- Announcement to spin off NBCUniversal and Sky media businesses into separate independent public company on June 30 2026
- OMNIA Partners contract documentation for Comcast Cable Communications Management LLC serving public sector via Region 14 ESC