CAD
Colonial Coal International Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
CAD 2.25
Buy <=wait / entry
CAD 1.45
Trim >=take some off
CAD 2.05
Thesis breakA confirmed dilutive equity raise at materially below the current price, the los...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Lack of hard catalysts such as contract wins or strategic partnerships
- Ongoing losses with no revenue generation
- Negative technical score of -3.28 and Sell Candidate rating