CAD
Colonial Coal International Corp
Position levels
Currenttoday
CAD 2.34
Buy <=wait / entry
CAD 1.63
Trim >=take some off
CAD 2.20
Thesis breakA material, sustained breakdown in metallurgical coal benchmarks combined with a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 16% | 100 / 100 | 16.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 36% | 10 / 100 | 3.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 49 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY | ||
Top risks
- Lack of hard catalysts such as contract wins or strategic partnerships
- Ongoing losses with no revenue generation
- Negative EPS (TTM -0.0300)