LON:CHRT
Cohort PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
1238.00p
Buy <=wait / entry
1050.00p
Trim >=take some off
1350.00p
Thesis breakA material UK MOD budget cut, loss of a named framework contract (MASS, EID, SOE...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 47% | 100 / 100 | 47.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 5% | 10 / 100 | 0.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 77 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- EUR 140.7m multi-year sonar technology contract win through ELAC subsidiary
- EM Solutions awarded AU$21.7M contract for Portugal
- Revenue GBP 303m and adjusted operating profit ~GBP 36m ahead of market expectations for FY2026