LON:CHRT
Cohort PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
1395.35p
Buy <=wait / entry
1126.67p
Trim >=take some off
1480.00p
Thesis breakA confirmed UK MOD budget cut that specifically targets Cohort's capability area...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 33% | 100 / 100 | 33.0 |
| Base case | 51% | 62 / 100 | 31.6 |
| Bear case | 16% | 10 / 100 | 1.6 |
| Weighted conviction | 66 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Record GBP 618.8m order book extending to 2037 and covering 88% of 2026/27 revenue expectations
- Revenue +13% to GBP 306.4m and adjusted operating profit +32% to GBP 36.3m with 10% dividend increase
- Renewed and tripled banking facility to GBP 175m with GBP 50m accordion to support defence-led growth