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COHR

Coherent Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 232.08 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsIN BUY ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
60

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 232.08
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 238.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 345.00
Thesis breakThe investment thesis would be invalidated by the loss of the named NVIDIA multi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case26%100 / 10026.0
Base case52%62 / 10032.2
Bear case22%10 / 1002.2
Weighted conviction60 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Multiyear strategic partnership and supply agreement with NVIDIA to develop optics technology for next-generation data center architecture
  • Q4 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $1.74 vs estimates of $1.58-$1.62 and revenue guidance above consensus at $1.91B-$2.05B midpoint
  • PhotonLink integrated optics platform backed by customer deals and capacity expansion with revenue ramp guided from Q4 2026
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