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COHR

Coherent Corp

SPECULATIVE BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 379.13 Technology - Hardware, Equipment & PartsAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
47

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 379.13
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 285.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 395.00
Thesis breakTwo consecutive quarters of non-GAAP gross margin below 38.5%, a downward revisi...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case13%100 / 10013.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case38%10 / 1003.8
Weighted conviction47 / 100 - SPECULATIVE BUY

Top risks

  • Q3 2026 EPS beat of $1.41 vs est. $1.36 (+3.68%)
  • Raised analyst price targets including Raymond James to $435 and BofA to $400
  • Significant growth in AI and ML datacom market vertical with protocol-agnostic transceivers
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.