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C

Citigroup Inc

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 132.45 Financial Services - Banks - DiversifiedAWAIT ENTRY
64

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 132.45
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 112.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 148.00
Thesis breakA material Federal Reserve enforcement action or resolution-plan remediation req...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case32%100 / 10032.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case19%10 / 1001.9
Weighted conviction64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • $30 billion share buyback and dividend increase post stress test
  • Q2 2026 consensus revenue +8% YoY and EPS +35% YoY with full-year guidance
  • $2.5 billion note redemptions for liability management and capital efficiency
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