C
Citigroup Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 132.45
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 112.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 148.00
Thesis breakA material Federal Reserve enforcement action or resolution-plan remediation req...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 32% | 100 / 100 | 32.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 19% | 10 / 100 | 1.9 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- $30 billion share buyback and dividend increase post stress test
- Q2 2026 consensus revenue +8% YoY and EPS +35% YoY with full-year guidance
- $2.5 billion note redemptions for liability management and capital efficiency