CSCO
Cisco Systems Inc
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 115.99
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 103.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 125.00
Thesis breakCisco reports two consecutive quarters of order growth below 10% alongside gross...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 8% | 10 / 100 | 0.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 73 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- Raised FY26 revenue guidance to $4B and orders to $9B from prior targets
- Q3 revenue $15.8B (+12% YoY) and non-GAAP EPS $1.06 beat estimates by 6%
- Total product orders +35% YoY with networking orders >50% YoY and data center switching >40% YoY