CMPR
Cimpress PLC
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 98.70
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 76.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 100.00
Thesis breakSustained gross-margin compression below 45% for two consecutive quarters, a res...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 18% | 100 / 100 | 18.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 30% | 10 / 100 | 3.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 53 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- New $1.1 billion senior secured Term Loan B due 2033 at SOFR plus 2.50%
- Q4 & FY2026 earnings release showing 11% quarterly revenue increase to $1.042 billion
- Vista segment 5% revenue growth and 9% YoY variable gross profit per customer increase to $75.90