CMPR
Cimpress PLC
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 95.35
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 74.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 98.00
Thesis breakA Q3 FY2026 print materially below raised FY2026 guidance combined with a confir...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 25% | 100 / 100 | 25.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Closing of $1.1 billion senior secured Term Loan B due 2033 at SOFR plus 2.50%
- Q4 and fiscal year 2026 earnings release with reported 11% quarterly revenue increase to $1.042 billion
- Consensus analyst rating of Buy/Strong Buy from 2 covering firms with average price target of $86.5-$110.50