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CMPR

Cimpress PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-08 Data 35 days old USD 95.35 Communication Services - Advertising AgenciesAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 95.35
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 74.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 98.00
Thesis breakA Q3 FY2026 print materially below raised FY2026 guidance combined with a confir...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Closing of $1.1 billion senior secured Term Loan B due 2033 at SOFR plus 2.50%
  • Q4 and fiscal year 2026 earnings release with reported 11% quarterly revenue increase to $1.042 billion
  • Consensus analyst rating of Buy/Strong Buy from 2 covering firms with average price target of $86.5-$110.50
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