Coverage / CI / Trade Card

CI

Cigna Group

BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 278.88 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
74

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 278.88
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 246.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 300.00
Thesis breakA formal PBM rebate or pricing action by a US federal regulator that materially ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case43%100 / 10043.0
Base case49%62 / 10030.4
Bear case8%10 / 1000.8
Weighted conviction74 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • M&A activity: Acquisition of CarepathRx completed in February 2026
  • Earnings or guidance changes: Multiple quarterly EPS beats including Q2 2026 actual $7.78 vs forecast $7.60, plus full-year 2026 EPS guidance support
  • Earnings or guidance changes: Q1 2026 EPS beat and raised 2026 EPS guidance above $30.35
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.