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CI

Cigna Group

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 279.05 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
68

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 279.05
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 258.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 295.00
Thesis breakA material adverse regulatory action against PBM pricing or rebate practices, co...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case37%100 / 10037.0
Base case47%62 / 10029.1
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction68 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Acquisition of CarepathRx completed in February 2026
  • Q2 2026 EPS beat of $0.18 ($7.78 actual vs $7.60 consensus) with 6.7% YoY revenue growth to $70.04B
  • Raised 2026 EPS guidance to at least $30.35
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.