CHKP
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 147.49
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 140.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 170.00
Thesis breakSustained revenue growth below 4.8%, a further acceleration in on-premise firewa...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 48% | 62 / 100 | 29.8 |
| Bear case | 22% | 10 / 100 | 2.2 |
| Weighted conviction | 62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: Acquired Cyclops Security Ltd and Cyata Security Ltd as part of 23 total acquisitions
- Earnings beat: Q2 FY26 revenue 673.6M and earnings 193.8M with +2.5 actual vs +2.4 estimate
- Analyst actions: Multiple Neutral ratings maintained with targets at 145-150 including Mizuho, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs