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CHKP

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-29 Data 14 days old USD 138.48 Technology - Software - InfrastructureAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
62

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 138.48
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 118.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 155.00
Thesis breakA material disclosure of accelerating firewall market-share loss combined with a...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case30%100 / 10030.0
Base case48%62 / 10029.8
Bear case22%10 / 1002.2
Weighted conviction62 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Expanded OpenAI partnership embedding frontier cyber models into products and workflows
  • Acquisition of Lakera for AI and SaaS-based observability platform
  • Q3 2026 revenue guidance of $655-685M below consensus $696.5M and FY 2026 EPS guidance issued
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.