SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation Common Stock
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 91.72
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 87.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 105.00
Thesis breakThe thesis is invalidated if organic client asset growth turns negative, if net ...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 40% | 100 / 100 | 40.0 |
| Base case | 50% | 62 / 100 | 31.0 |
| Bear case | 10% | 10 / 100 | 1.0 |
| Weighted conviction | 72 / 100 - BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity via completion of Forge Global acquisition
- Q2 FY26 earnings beat with EPS +1.62 vs estimate +1.55 and revenue guidance raised to 17.5%-18.5%
- Initiation of secondary listing on Texas Stock Exchange effective October 7 2026