SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation Common Stock
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 107.60
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 96.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 112.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would be invalidated by a sustained net interest margin contraction b...
-
Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- Q2 2026 EPS beat of $1.62 vs $1.51 estimate (+7.28%)
- Multiple quarterly EPS beats including Q1 2026 (+3.62%) and prior periods
- Analyst consensus Strong Buy with average 12-month price target $123.75