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LON:CER

Cerillion PLC

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-28 Market data as of 2026-11-13 Market data 2 days old 905.10p Technology - Software - ApplicationREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
55

Position levels

Currenttoday
905.10p
Buy <=wait / entry
586.67p
Trim >=take some off
760.00p
Thesis breakA further reduction in FY2026 revenue or EBITDA guidance, delayed recognition of...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case23%100 / 10023.0
Base case47%62 / 10029.1
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction55 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Full year revenue guidance lowered to GBP 46m-GBP 48m versus consensus of GBP 52.8m
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expected at 43%-45%, down from 50.9% in the prior year
  • Lack of recent hard catalysts or specific contract wins
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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