LEU
Centrus Energy Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 189.34
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 165.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 225.00
Thesis breakA disclosed, material delay to HALEU cascade throughput beyond a stated producti...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 18% | 10 / 100 | 1.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- DOE HALEU contract extension valued at approximately $110 million through June 2026 with options for up to eight additional years
- Selected by DOE for $900 million HALEU production award subject to negotiation and NNSA intent to sole source certain uranium enrichment activities
- Signed definitive LEU and HALEU supply agreement with X-energy