LEU
Centrus Energy Corp
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 139.27
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 118.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 165.00
Thesis breakThe thesis would break if Centrus fails to convert the NNSA sole-source intent i...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 18% | 10 / 100 | 1.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- DOE $900 million HALEU production award
- NNSA intent to sole source certain uranium enrichment activities from Centrus
- DOE contract extension valued at approximately $110 million through June 2026 for HALEU production