LON:CAML
Central Asia Metals PLC
Position levels
Currenttoday
147.40p
Buy <=wait / entry
121.67p
Trim >=take some off
175.00p
Thesis breakAn LME copper print sustained below $8,000 per tonne combined with a company-con...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 26% | 100 / 100 | 26.0 |
| Base case | 49% | 62 / 100 | 30.4 |
| Bear case | 25% | 10 / 100 | 2.5 |
| Weighted conviction | 59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: definitive share-swap deal to acquire Cygnus Metals at 60% premium
- Corporate action: share premium cancellation approved at EGM with court approval expected April 2026
- Strategic investment: GBP 3 million acquisition of 28.4% stake in Aberdeen Minerals Ltd