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CNC

Centene Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-09 Data 34 days old USD 65.77 Healthcare - Medical - Healthcare PlansAWAIT ENTRY
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
54

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 65.77
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 44.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 68.00
Thesis breakA material downward revision to full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance, a meaningf...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case19%100 / 10019.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case30%10 / 1003.0
Weighted conviction54 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Raised 2026 GAAP and adjusted EPS guidance after Q2 2026 results
  • Multiple analyst price target increases (Bernstein to $79, Truist to $80, Barclays to $80)
  • Leadership as largest Medicaid managed care provider
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.