Coverage / CAT / Trade Card

CAT

Caterpillar Inc

BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 814.81 Industrials - Agricultural - MachineryAWAIT ENTRY
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 814.81
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 706.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 880.00
Thesis breakA material cancellation or material scope reduction of the 2 GW AIP Corp AI powe...
-

Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • 2 GW purchase agreement with AIP Corp for fast-response natural gas generator sets and battery storage to power hyperscale AI data centers, with deliveries Sept 2026 - Aug 2027
  • M&A activity including July 2026 acquisition of Skycatch and agreement to acquire RPMGlobal
  • Company guidance for low-double-digit full-year 2026 sales and revenues growth
Read full report →

Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.