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CRS

Carpenter Technology Corp

OPPORTUNISTIC BUY 2026-08-01 Updated today USD 519.66 Industrials - Manufacturing - Metal FabricationAWAIT ENTRY
59

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 519.66
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 346.67
Trim >=take some off
USD 520.00
Thesis breakA clear deterioration in commercial aerospace or defence demand evidenced by a m...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case25%100 / 10025.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case25%10 / 1002.5
Weighted conviction59 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2026 EPS beat of 5.56% ($3.23 actual vs $3.06 est) with prior three quarters also beating estimates
  • Upcoming Q1 2027 earnings report scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 with analyst EPS estimate of $2.78
  • Consistent EPS growth trajectory from $2.21 in Q4 2025 to $3.23 in Q4 2026
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.