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CRS

Carpenter Technology Corp

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 299.55 Industrials - Manufacturing - Metal FabricationIN BUY ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
66

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 299.55
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 325.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 455.00
Thesis breakA confirmed downward revision to commercial aerospace build-rate expectations fo...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case33%100 / 10033.0
Base case51%62 / 10031.6
Bear case16%10 / 1001.6
Weighted conviction66 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Q4 2026 earnings beat with actual EPS $3.23 vs est $3.06 (+5.56%) and record operating income of $206.9 million
  • Record SAO adjusted operating margin of 37.8% and SAO operating income of $229.7 million
  • Strong full-year cash from operations of $605 million and share repurchases of $179.1 million
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Research is for informational purposes only. Not financial advice. All analysis reflects the date of publication.

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