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CAH

Cardinal Health, Inc

BUY Analysis generated 2026-10-04 Market data as of 2026-11-12 Market data 3 days old USD 278.14 Healthcare - Medical - DistributionREDUCE ZONE
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
69

Position levels

Currenttoday
USD 278.14
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 198.33
Trim >=take some off
USD 245.00
Thesis breakA material adverse repricing or non-renewal of the CVS supply agreement, a discl...
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Scenario-weighted conviction

ProbabilityScoreContribution
Bull case37%100 / 10037.0
Base case50%62 / 10031.0
Bear case13%10 / 1001.3
Weighted conviction69 / 100 - BUY

Top risks

  • Binding letter of intent to extend pharmaceutical distribution agreements with CVS Health through June 30, 2032
  • Two tuck-in acquisitions to expand home care business
  • Q4 FY2026 diluted EPS of $2.91 (up 40% YoY) and full-year adjusted free cash flow of $5 billion with FY2027 guidance provided
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