CAH
Cardinal Health, Inc
ACTIONABLEMethodology gates passed
Position levels
Currenttoday
USD 236.40
Buy <=wait / entry
USD 195.00
Trim >=take some off
USD 245.00
Thesis breakA material loss of any of the five suppliers representing 37% of revenue, a reve...
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Scenario-weighted conviction
| Probability | Score | Contribution | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull case | 30% | 100 / 100 | 30.0 |
| Base case | 52% | 62 / 100 | 32.2 |
| Bear case | 18% | 10 / 100 | 1.8 |
| Weighted conviction | 64 / 100 - OPPORTUNISTIC BUY | ||
Top risks
- M&A activity: definitive agreement to acquire majority stake in GI Alliance for approximately $2.8 billion cash (71% ownership)
- M&A activity: definitive agreements to acquire AdaptHealth's Diabetes Health business and Strive Medical for combined ~$360 million cash
- M&A activity: acquisition of Advanced Diabetes Supply Group to accelerate at-Home Solutions